The market dynamics of the used car market is not intuitively clear. Many different factors need to be considered and the effects could take different directions under certain conditions. In this article, we investigate the leading indicators driving used car sales in Germany. We find that certain market and survey indicators are good for predicting … Read More
Enhancing forecasting precision is of the utmost importance when planning production volumes and investments. In this case study, we forecast quarterly registrations of heavy commercial vehicles in the European Union. We found that traditional forecasting models appear to be reliable, but using Indicio leads to major improvements in accuracy compared to the traditional models over … Read More
We forecast that the virus induced stock market crash will trigger a downturn in Swedish apartment prices over the coming months. Our models however suggest that the price drop could be quite mild and temporary. In January 2019 we put out a forecast of Swedish apartment and house prices where Indicio´s models indicated that prices … Read More
The results from our GDP models show that many countries will probably avoid a recession, with the UK as a possible exception, although they will face low or declining growth in the coming years. Some Euro area countries like Spain and Austria will even do rather well. In this article, we forecast GDP with data … Read More
In this study we use Indicio, a forecasting tool developed by Indicio Technologies, to generate forecasts of Swedish existing home sales. We forecast house- and apartments sales in both Sweden and the Stockholm region. Our modelling suggests that sales of one and two dwellings houses are highly interrelated with the development of mortgage rates and … Read More
We forecast that residential investment will decline by almost 17 percent over the years 2018-2021, using a new forecast modelling tool. The number of started dwellings is expected to decrease from a seasonally adjusted annual rate (saar) of 68 000 in the fall of 2016 to slightly below 52 000 in the beginning of 2021. … Read More
