Passenger car registrations in the US will follow long downtrend in 2022

Passenger car registrations in the US will follow long downtrend in 2022

January 14, 2022

We used Indicio to forecast passenger car sales for 2022 in the European Union and do not expect new car registrations to return to pre-pandemic levels this year.  Peaking in September 1986 with 1.15M new vehicles, passenger car registrations in the US have seen a continuous decline to reach a record low of 182.8K in … Read More

EU monthly car registrations not set to return to pre-pandemic levels in 2022

EU monthly car registrations not set to return to pre-pandemic levels in 2022

January 7, 2022

We used Indicio to forecast passenger car sales for 2022 in the European Union and do not expect new car registrations to return to pre-pandemic levels this year.  The current situation Estimates are based on an average of 15 models that rely on ACEA data and automotive industry leading indicators, weighted according to best performances. … Read More

US Inflation forecast ahead of FED announcement

US Inflation forecast ahead of FED announcement

December 8, 2021

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release awaited November inflation statistics on December, 10th 2021. In October, US inflation exceeded expectations, with prices rising by 0.9% MOM (0.6% expected) from September. The recently reelected FED chairman Jerome Powell announced that inflation may no longer be “transitory”, despite Omicron variant concerns. Persistent inflation could have … Read More

Uncovering the market dynamics of the used car market in Germany

Uncovering the market dynamics of the used car market in Germany

August 14, 2020

The market dynamics of the used car market is not intuitively clear. Many different factors need to be considered and the effects could take different directions under certain conditions. In this article, we investigate the leading indicators driving used car sales in Germany. We find that certain market and survey indicators are good for predicting … Read More

Slow recovery in heavy commercial vehicle registrations ahead – pending developments in gross fixed capital formation

Slow recovery in heavy commercial vehicle registrations ahead – pending developments in gross fixed capital formation

July 1, 2020

Enhancing forecasting precision is of the utmost importance when planning production volumes and investments. In this case study, we forecast quarterly registrations of heavy commercial vehicles in the European Union. We found that traditional forecasting models appear to be reliable, but using Indicio leads to major improvements in accuracy compared to the traditional models over … Read More

Stock market effects on apartment prices in Swedish metropolitan regions

Stock market effects on apartment prices in Swedish metropolitan regions

March 19, 2020

We forecast that the virus induced stock market crash will trigger a downturn in Swedish apartment prices over the coming months. Our models however suggest that the price drop could be quite mild and temporary. In January 2019 we put out a forecast of Swedish apartment and house prices where Indicio´s models indicated that prices … Read More