The features that
improve forecast accuracy performance

Capture group indicator effect

Instead of relying solely on sales historical data, we use multivariate analysis to uncover more intricate relationships. Each indicator is defined as a function of the others in order to see how they interact. This way, instead of treating each indicator's impact separately, our models capture interactions between them and their influence on your sales.

By using Lasso and other regularisation techniques through cross-validation, we ensure that only the relevant indicators are represented, delivering the most accurate results.

Chart showing group indicator effect in Indicio.

Gain immediate insights

In a fraction of the time. you can select indicators, transform data, build models, backtest models, and performing model averaging.

Spend your time on gaining actual insights to move the needle, instead of getting caught up in building the statistical framework.

Chart showing leading indicators.

Leverage a data-driven methodology

For companies that rely on qualitative forecasting methods, biases impact forecast accuracy negatively. To meet that challenge, Indicio runs advanced statistical models, Unaffected by subjectivity.

Chart showing advanced statistical models.

Easy-to-verify results

We've made it easy to conduct a historical accuracy evaluation. This includes backtesting and evaluating model performance, Indicio creates previous forecasts that are compared against actual outcome.

Chart showing historical accuracy evaluation.

How it works

Chart showing leading indicators.

Leverage a data-driven methodology

We've built an econometric model (VAR) to identify leading indicators. Vector autoregression is a workhorse model in macroeconomics that defines each indicator as a function of other indicators. This way, instead of treating each indicator’s impact separately, the model captures interactions between them and their influence on your sales.

By using a lasso penalty through cross-validation, we ensure that only the relevant indicators are represented, delivering the most accurate results.