Commodities

Forecasting Chlorine Production

Forecasting chlorine production requires analyzing a combination of global economic factors such as Energy price, industrial production, and unemployment rate.

Given that global economic factors and the demand surrounding chlorine derivatives could potentially shift through time, it's crucial to identify and test indicators periodically.

< 2 mins

Time taken to
identify most
relevant indicators

20+

Relevant
leading
indicators

95%

MAPE
forecast
accuracy

*Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators, the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
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Here are the leading indicators identified using Indicio:

Main variable:
Chlorine production in tonnes
Indicator name Influence
EU, Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - Monthly Data (Index), CP055, Tools and Equipment For House and Garden ⭐⭐⭐
Trend: Chlorine production in tonnes ⭐⭐⭐
Brent spot price Europe ⭐⭐
Eurostat, EU, Unemployed, Rate, Total (EU27 ex GB), SA ⭐⭐
Industrial Production: Manufacturing: Non-Durable Goods: Chemical (NAICS = 325), SA
PPI: ALKALIES and CHLORINE, US
Producer Price Index, United States, Chlorine, US
MSCI All Country World Index Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment United States Dollar
Google trends: US - Volvo Construction Equipment
United States - Manufacturing PMI ⭐⭐

Top indicators identified

EU, Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices - Monthly Data (Index), CP055, Tools and Equipment For House and Garden

How we can help you

At first glance, it might not seem directly related to the production of chlorine. However, understanding the broader context and the potential indirect links can shed light on its potential significance.

Trend: Chlorine production in tonnes

This variable directly measures the amount of chlorine produced over a specified period. When forecasting the production of chlorine, this is one of the most straightforward and critical indicators to consider for several reasons, as it tends to reflect the demand for chlorine and its derivatives.

How we can help you

Brent spot price Europe

This variable refers to the price of Brent crude oil in the spot market, typically quoted on a per-barrel basis. Brent crude is one of the major trading classifications of sweet light crude oil and serves as a major benchmark price for worldwide oil purchases.

How we can help you
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