Leading indicators identified with Indicio
Forecasted variable: EU, Economic Surveys, DG ECFIN, Economic Sentiment Indicator, Balance, SA, Index
| Indicator | Relevance |
|---|---|
| Spain, Government Benchmarks, Bank of Spain, 3 Year, Yield | ★★★★ |
| Germany, Government Benchmarks, 3 Month, Yield | ★★★ |
| France, Yield Curve, CNO-TEC, 3 Year, Yield | ★★ |
| Euro Area, Leading Indicators, Citi, Economic Surprise Index, Index | ★ |
| Germany, Equity Indices, Deutsche Boerse, DAX, 40 Index, Total Return, Close, EUR | ★ |
| Germany, Government Benchmarks, 2 Year, Yield | ★ |
| Spain, Equity Indices, Madrid Stock Exchange, IBEX 35 Index, Close, EUR | ★ |
| France, Business Surveys, Bank of France, Industry, Change in Overall Level of New Orders, Manufacturing Industry, SA | ★ |
| France, Equity Indices, Euronext Paris, CAC 40 Index, Price Return, Close, EUR | ★ |
| China, Shanghai Shipping Exchange, Shipping, China Containerized Freight, Index | ★ |
| France, Business Surveys, DG ECFIN, Industrial Confidence Indicator, Total Sector, Monthly, Balance, SA | ★ |
| Germany, Business Surveys, Ifo, Business Survey, Services, Freight Transport by Road, Expectations regarding Demand/ Turnover, Balance, SA (X-13 ARIMA) | ★ |
| Euro Area, Leading Indicators, ECB, Indicator of Systemic Stress, Composite Index, Index | ★ |
| France, Business Surveys, S&P Global, Composite, Composite PMI Output Index, SA, Index | ★ |
| France, Business Surveys, S&P Global, Manufacturing, Manufacturing PMI, SA, Index | ★ |
| France, Consumer Surveys, INSEE, Consumer Confidence Indicator, Synthetic Index, SA, Index | ★ |
| Germany, Business Surveys, DG ECFIN, Industrial Confidence Indicator, Total Sector, Monthly, Balance, SA | ★ |
| Germany, Business Surveys, Ifo, Business Survey, Trade, Expectations with Regard to Employees in the Next 3 Months, Balance | ★ |
| Germany, Business Surveys, S&P Global, Composite, Composite PMI Output Index, SA, Index | ★ |
| Germany, Business Surveys, S&P Global, Manufacturing, Manufacturing PMI, SA, Index | ★ |
| Germany, Consumer Surveys, DG ECFIN, Consumer Confidence, Balance, SA | ★ |
| Germany, Leading Indicators, Central Bank of Germany, Weekly Activity Index (WAI), Index | ★ |
| Germany, Truck Toll Mileage Index, Total, Calendar Adjusted (X13 JDemetra+), SA (X13 JDemetra+), Index | ★ |
| Spain, Business Surveys, DG ECFIN, Industrial Confidence Indicator, Total Sector, Monthly, Balance, SA | ★ |
| Spain, Business Surveys, S&P Global, Manufacturing, Manufacturing PMI, SA, Index | ★ |
| Spain, Consumer Surveys, Ministry of Economy & Business, Consumer Confidence Indicator, Total, SA | ★ |
Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators; the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
Top indicators identified
Spain, Government Benchmarks, Bank of Spain, 3 Year, Yield
The yield on three-year Spanish government bonds as tracked by the Bank of Spain. It reflects the expected return to maturity and serves as a gauge of short-term borrowing costs, shaped by inflation, monetary policy and investor demand.
Germany, Government Benchmarks, 3 Month, Yield
The yield on German government securities with three-month maturities. It indicates short-term borrowing costs, is influenced by monetary policy, market rates and economic conditions, and gauges short-term investor sentiment.
France, Yield Curve, CNO-TEC, 3 Year, Yield
The yield on three-year French government bonds within the CNO-TEC yield curve. It measures short-term borrowing costs, reflecting interest rates, inflation expectations and investor sentiment, and helps in analyzing France's yield curve.
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