New30 Oct 2026When the Forecast Becomes the Target: How to Keep Your Numbers Honest
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Case study · Aviation · airports

An airport operations leader: faster forecasts for passenger demand and expansion

How an airport operator moved its forecasting out of Excel, got the same numbers at every level, and backs its expansion plans with scenarios.

Sector
Aviation, airport operations
Business case
Passenger demand and strategic expansion
Specifics
What-if scenarios on GDP and ticket fees

Horizons

StrategicTactical

The situation

A key player in the aviation industry, dependent on Excel for forecasting. Accuracy was low, resources were used inefficiently, and confidence in the forecast was lacking.

The challenge

  • Adapting to market trendsOperations struggled to keep up with fast-changing market dynamics.
  • Inefficient use of resourcesExcessive time went into forecasting, taking time from other strategic work.
  • No robust methodHeavy reliance on Excel gave subpar accuracy.

What Indicio did

  • Built multiple forecasts quickly, with weighted results within minutes.
  • Visualised the weighted forecasts with Shapley values that explain each deviation.
  • Simulated what-if scenarios, such as changes in GDP or ticket fees, and their effect on key variables.

The result

Less time on forecasting

More precise and efficient planning.

One number at every level

Uniform forecasts across all levels, for a coherent strategy.

Confident on passenger demand

Advanced models support strategic decisions and expansion initiatives.

Want the same on your data?

We set it up on a case like yours, and backtest against your current forecast in four weeks.

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