Leading indicators identified with Indicio
Forecasted variable: Polyvinyl Chloride (Poly Vinyl Chloride) Suspension, USA FAS Houston, United States Dollar per Metric Tonne
| Indicator | Relevance |
|---|---|
| Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma | ★★★★ |
| China, Futures, DCE-Polyvinyl Chloride Continuous | ★★★★ |
| Polyvinyl Chloride (Poly Vinyl Chloride) Suspension Cost and Freight Far East Asia, United States Dollar Per Metric Tonne | ★★★★ |
| FTSE Canada Chemicals | ★★★ |
| FTSE Belgium/Luxembourg Chemicals | ★★★ |
| United States, Exports - Computers, Peripherals and Semiconductors (Census), SA, USD | ★★ |
| United States, Production, Aggregates, Non-Energy, Computers, Communications EQ, and Semiconductors, Volume, SA, Index | ★ |
| MSCI All Country World Index Semiconductors and Semiconductor Equipment, United States Dollar | ★ |
| Google Trends: US - Volvo Construction Equipment | ★ |
| United States - Manufacturing PMI | ★★ |
Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators; the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators. The relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
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Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma
PVC is derived from petrochemicals, so its production depends on crude oil and its derivatives. WTI is a major U.S. benchmark, and its price changes can noticeably affect PVC production costs.
China, Futures, DCE-Polyvinyl Chloride Continuous
These actively traded futures contracts on the Dalian Commodity Exchange reflect market expectations for future PVC prices, shaped by production, consumption, and outside influences.
Polyvinyl Chloride (Poly Vinyl Chloride) Suspension Cost and Freight Far East Asia, United States Dollar Per Metric Tonne
This indicator gives a direct PVC price on a specific trade route (Far East Asia) in cost and freight terms, in U.S. dollars per metric tonne, serving as an immediate pricing reference.
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The manufacturer struggled to allocate resources efficiently because market shifts were unclear. With Indicio, it identified the key leading drivers of its chemical production and improved forecast accuracy.