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Forecasting the construction equipment market in the US

Forecasting the construction equipment market in the US requires analyzing a blend of Macroeconomic factors, such as Inventory and sales of building materials, number of started housing units, and GDP growth. Considering these factors and regularly monitoring industry developments can improve forecast accuracy and support informed decisions.

94%
Accuracy
20+
Leading indicators
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Leading indicators identified with Indicio

Forecasted variable: Manufacturers' New Orders: construction machinery; farm machinery & equipment, mining, oil, and gas

IndicatorRelevance
Manufacturers' Total Inventories: Construction Materials and Supplies★★★★
Retail Sales: Building Materials and Supplies Dealers★★★
Google trends: Hitachi Construction Machinery★★
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Started: Total Units★★
US - Gross Domestic Product★★
Google trends: John Deere★★
Manufacturers' Value of Shipments: Construction Materials and Supplies★★
Trend: Manufacturers' New Orders: construction machinery; farm machinery and equipment, mining, oil, and gas★★
Google trends: US - Volvo Construction Equipment★★
United States - Manufacturing PMI★★
Industrial Production: Construction Supplies★★
Google trends: US - Bobcat Company★★
Google trends: US - Case Construction Equipment★★
Google trends: US - Heavy equipment★★
Manufacturers' Unfilled Orders: Construction Materials and Supplies★★
Google trends: Caterpillar Inc★★
New Privately-Owned Housing Units Authorized in Permit-Issuing Places: Total Units★★
Producer Price Index by Industry: Construction Machinery Manufacturing★★
Google trends: KOBELCO Construction Machinery Co.Ltd.★
Manufacturers' New Orders: Construction Materials and Supplies★

Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators; the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.

Top indicators identified

Manufacturers' Total Inventories: Construction Materials and Supplies

Offers insight into the supply-demand balance, production activity, lead-lag effects, market sentiment and seasonality, and into the links between the construction materials and construction machinery sectors.

Retail Sales: Building Materials and Supplies Dealers

Gives insight into market dynamics, consumer confidence, spending trends and seasonal patterns that can affect manufacturers' new orders for construction machinery.

Google trends: Hitachi Construction Machinery

Hitachi Construction Machinery is a notable industry player; significant changes in its sales or orders can signal broader market conditions and affect demand for construction machinery.

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