Identify your relevant leading indicators and
anticipate shifts in your market months in advance

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Commodities

Key drivers forecasting crude oil prices

The forecasting of this variable can be used to help businesses make decisions about production, inventory, and pricing. For example, a business that produces semiconductors may want to reduce production if the capacity utilization rate is low, as this indicates that there is excess capacity in the semiconductor market.

< 2 mins

Time taken to
identify most
relevant indicators

10+

Relevant
leading
indicators

94%

MAPE
forecast
accuracy

*Indicio captures the group effect of the leading indicators, the relevance ranking of each indicator changes over time.
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Here are the leading indicators identified using Indicio:

Main variable:
Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma
Indicator name Influence
Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma ⭐⭐⭐
Petroleum Consumption Excluding Ethanol Quadrillion British Thermal Unit ⭐⭐⭐
United Kingdom, Input Prices, Basic Iron, Steel and Alloys, Tubes, Pipes, Hollow Profiles and Fittings, Index, 2015 = 100 ⭐⭐
United States, Stocks : Crude Oil Excluding SPR (MB) ⭐⭐
Google trends: Oil
Trend: Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma
United States, Production of Crude Oil Including Lease Condensate
United States, Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels, End-of-Period Inventories, Commercial Inventory
United States, Stocks : Crude Oil in SPR (MB)
United Kingdom, Input Prices, Crude Oil, Index, 2015 = 100
United States, Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels, Inventory Net Withdrawals
CBOE Crude Oil ETF Volatility Index
Crude Oil Production, Total OPEC Thousand Barrels / Day

Top indicators identified

Trend: Crude Oil Prices: West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - Cushing, Oklahoma

This variable provides insights into the demand-supply balance, production activity, lead-lag relationships, market sentiment, seasonal variations, and the interconnectedness of the construction materials and machinery sectors.

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CBOE Crude Oil ETF Volatility Index

This provides valuable insights into market dynamics, consumer confidence, spending trends, and seasonal patterns, all of which can impact the level of new orders received by manufacturers for construction machinery.

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United States, Production of Crude Oil Including Lease Condensate

Hitachi Construction Machinery is a prominent player in the construction machinery industry. If Hitachi Construction Machinery experiences significant changes in their sales or order volumes, it can be indicative of broader market conditions and potentially influence the demand for construction machinery.

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Use cases

Get better insights into demand patterns with strategic forecasting

Plan production more effectively

Indicio provides you with a clearer understanding of your future demand by identifying your relevant market drivers, to ensure you successfully plan your production more effectively and avoid overproduction or underproduction.

Optimize production by improving forecast accuracy

Construction machinery typically has long product lifecycles, making accurate forecasting essential for planning production and inventory management. By improving forecasting accuracy, manufacturers can better anticipate market demand for specific machinery types, plan for product updates or replacements, and avoid excessive inventory of outdated models.

Detect market trend shifts ahead of time

Anticipate market trends and assess the demand for new technologies, and make informed decisions about research and development investments, product diversification, and production capacity.

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“Indicio advances our digital strategy of becoming a data-driven organization, producing accurate forecasts in a fraction of time."

Alexander Noren, a customer that used Indicio

Alexander Norén

Head of Analysis at Skanska
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