Uncovering the market dynamics of the used car market in Germany

Uncovering the market dynamics of the used car market in Germany

August 14, 2020

The market dynamics of the used car market is not intuitively clear. Many different factors need to be considered and the effects could take different directions under certain conditions. In this article, we investigate the leading indicators driving used car sales in Germany. We find that certain market and survey indicators are good for predicting … Read More

Slow recovery in heavy commercial vehicle registrations ahead – pending developments in gross fixed capital formation

Slow recovery in heavy commercial vehicle registrations ahead – pending developments in gross fixed capital formation

July 1, 2020

Enhancing forecasting precision is of the utmost importance when planning production volumes and investments. In this case study, we forecast quarterly registrations of heavy commercial vehicles in the European Union. We found that traditional forecasting models appear to be reliable, but using Indicio leads to major improvements in accuracy compared to the traditional models over … Read More

How Low Can You Go? – The Outlook for Swedish Housing Construction

How Low Can You Go? – The Outlook for Swedish Housing Construction

May 24, 2019

We forecast that residential investment will decline by almost 17 percent over the years 2018-2021, using a new forecast modelling tool. The number of started dwellings is expected to decrease from a seasonally adjusted annual rate (saar) of 68 000 in the fall of 2016 to slightly below 52 000 in the beginning of 2021. … Read More